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RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1591 
To be successful in the markets, you need a good understanding of systems, psychology, and history.
GeorgeB

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Reply with quote  #1592 
Hey Robert, I think you'll enjoy this article. It was insightful and entertaining, contrasting Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Victor Niederhoffer.

https://web.archive.org/web/20080702162002/http://www.gladwell.com/2002/2002_04_29_a_blowingup.htm
RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1593 
Quote:
Originally Posted by GeorgeB
Hey Robert, I think you'll enjoy this article. It was insightful and entertaining, contrasting Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Victor Niederhoffer.

https://web.archive.org/web/20080702162002/http://www.gladwell.com/2002/2002_04_29_a_blowingup.htm


George, thank you very much for that excellent article.

Both Niederhoffer and Taleb have a had a big influence on how I approach most aspects of my life and how I manage downside risk.

Life is a riskier endeavor than is widely acknowledged.  The term "bad luck" is misunderstood by 95% of the population because much of what is deemed "bad luck" could be avoided if people controlled what they have control over. 

Dad would often say "the secret of success is avoiding disaster."   Somehow he intuitively knew that - yet he never heard of Niederhoffer or Taleb!

BTW, that article motivated me to finally get off my ass and start send Nassim Taleb complimentary issues of my real estate Timing Letter.  I've been thinking about doing it for quite a while.  I think he might like it.



RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1594 
To be fit, healthy, happy, and financially secure, you have to want it badly because life is going to put up a fight.

Are you up for it?
RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1595 
Hey guys, it's Friday!  Time for some 1980's rock!

Eddie Money

Take Me Home Tonight - 1986

Take me home tonight.
I don't want to let you go till you see the light
Be my little baby.  Be my little baby.


RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1596 
What's required to achieve escape velocity.

High_speed_low_drag.png   

RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1597 
How to Live Life

+1000

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macoluco

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Reply with quote  #1598 

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RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1599 
Some bad-ass Rock and Roll on a beautiful Friday afternoon in San Diego!

The first winter-storm hit the SoCal coast on Wednesday, and the Del Mar beach was super-amazing today. 

Along with the leeward side of some select Hawaiian Islands, there is no better weather (or place to live) in the U.S.

The Rolling Stones

Street Fighting Man - 1968

RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1600 
The wealth merchants won't tell you this, but nothing of value comes easy, including getting rich.

As proof, to be in the 90% decile of all Americans, a net worth of $1.2M is required. 

That ain't RICH!

Ask people with a net worth of $1.2M if they consider themselves to be "rich."

My guess is that at least 75% would say "no" -- even though 50% of all Americans have a net worth of far less than that ($100K).

net_worth5.png 

elcortez_1953

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Reply with quote  #1601 
Hope everyone had a fabulous Thanksgiving!   seems like people are out there shopping like there's no tomorrow and the stock market is climbing to ever giddier heights based on what exactly?  the fact is ALL major economies are slowing down (US still hanging in there as we are the least vulnerable to slowing global trade and the consumer is still spending).    large cracks are developing in China's financial system as rumors of large Defaults and bank runs are circulating.  Germany has entered a manufacturing recession. the last stats from Japan and S Korea are bad. India in a major slow down.  EVERYBODY up to their eye balls in Debt,governments,corporations and consumers at a time of zero interest and "free" Money.    doom and gloom? maybe,just what i see monitoring current developments.    if it all works out i will be happy,if not make sure you are positioned correctly to be on the right side of the Trade.   
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RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1602 

The Sugar Conspiracy

In 1972, a British scientist sounded the alarm that sugar – and not fat – was the greatest danger to our health. But his findings were ridiculed and his reputation ruined. How did the world’s top nutrition scientists get it so wrong for so long?


sugar = poison.jpg 


rickencin

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Reply with quote  #1603 
"When Yudkin was conducting his research into the effects of sugar, in the 1960s, a new nutritional orthodoxy was in the process of asserting itself. Its central tenet was that a healthy diet is a low-fat diet. Yudkin led a diminishing band of dissenters who believed that sugar, not fat, was the more likely cause of maladies such as obesity, heart disease and diabetes. But by the time he wrote his book, the commanding heights of the field had been seized by proponents of the fat hypothesis. "...

"The most prominent recommendation of both governments was to cut back on saturated fats and cholesterol (this was the first time that the public had been advised to eat less of something, rather than enough of everything). Consumers dutifully obeyed. We replaced steak and sausages with pasta and rice, butter with margarine and vegetable oils, eggs with muesli, and milk with low-fat milk or orange juice. But instead of becoming healthier, we grew fatter and sicker."

The famous food pyramid.  You are supposed to eat mostly from the wide base and sparingly from the top.

https://www.mnn.com/food/healthy-eating/stories/food-pyramids-plates-plans-eat-healthy

I personally believe that weight loss requires a caloric deficit.  Not everyone believes this.  Weight loss requires months to substantially reduce weight and you need to use this time to change the way you eat forever.  The "diet" never ends.  You metabolism will adjust to your reduced caloric intake.  So a 500 calorie a day deficit will turn into a 250 calorie a day deficit over time. This will repeat. When you stop losing weight you need to keep eating the same forever.  So put good fuel in your body.

The good news is that for the majority of people blood glucose levels can be reduced in a day.  Just fast for 24 hours.  Your liver can try to maintain (another regulator) blood glucose levels for 6 - 12 hours. So not eating for more than 12 hours is almost magical.  

"Energy from food comes to us in three forms: fat, carbohydrate, and protein. "

Carbohydrates will raise blood glucose and insulin levels. The spike last about two hours. Fat doesn't raise blood glucose levels.  Protein raises insulin to a lesser degree.  Insulin resistance is the major problem with Type II Diabetes. Get rid of the carbs, get rid of the blood glucose rise and high insulin levels.  Everything you thought of as bad rich food (meat, dairy, eggs, sour cream, avacados) is actually good.  All the things you thought were good, from the food pryamid, are bad (bread, grain based processed food, potatoes, beans and rice) are bad for blood glucose spiking.  Even the whole food, plant based diet people avoid highly processed food and refined sugars (high fructose corn syrup).  Even the keto/meat lover people eat leafy, fiber filled, green vegetables.  Nobody thinks French Fries and milk shakes are health food. Or almost anything on those fabulous Taco Bell commercials. Yummmm!

Don't take my advice.  Talk to your doctor (usual disclaimer, before shoving a pencil in your eye, consult your doctor).  Of course doctors are part of a medical establishment that sells billions of dollars of insulin and diabetes treatements.  They could get fired for recommending diet over drugs. 

My A1C started at 10.4 and is now half of that.  Blood glucose levels can be changed very quickly.  Just google low carb or keto.  Fatsecret.com is great for getting nutritional labels on stuff, like celery, that doesn't come in a box.  No need to sign up, just click on "Foods" at the top of the page and type your food in the search box.


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Rick
RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1604 
Fighting fat and keeping your weight down is 80-90% diet.

You have to eat the right foods - avoid the wrong foods - and eat less of both.

I ask the Weight Gods to help me do this every single day because it is not easy.

Exercise keeps your muscles strong and well defined.  Diet is what keeps you lean.
RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1605 
Human nature never changes.

That's why an investor can take advantage of reactions people have to price moves.

dow_drops_400_points.png 

RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1606 
Why You Should Question the Buy and Hold Strategy (A series)

Studies show that the agony of losing a dollar is twice as great as the ecstasy of making one

This is something the buy and hold advocates rarely (if ever) talk about.

Pain ages you - and if you want to look younger, you should focus on anti-aging activities, and not things that accelerate it. 

losing money.jpg 

RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1607 
To get lean and fit, you must have a system.

No system = no consistent results.

After you get in shape, start dressing better - which is easy to do.

Start with no cargo shorts or Birkenstock sandals.

If you take one step at a time in the right direction - you'll see the magic begin.
RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1608 
Five Cities:  Living on $50K a Year

No cities are in California.
RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1609 
Repo operations by the Fed are not about QE and stimulating the economy - like it was in 2008-09.

It's about a liquidity crisis - and the Fed is trying to keep ST rates from rising.

RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1610 
"Welcome Home" pick-up sign at airport:

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RobertCampbell

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Reply with quote  #1611 

"Years ago I did a study about how people find investments. We concluded that most people aren’t systematic. They aren’t necessarily responding to tips, but they are responding to whatever is being talked about."

~ Robert Shiller

+1,000

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